Lies, damn lies, and statistics


iconWhile researching Maryland's death penalty figures for this article, I came across this delightful Univ. of Maryland study that claims that the death penalty is racist because it disproportionately affects blacks. Naturally, the usual suspects jumped on the percentages to further their weak-kneed cause to abolish capital punishment.

Maryland's death row is one of the most racially biased in the nation. 69% of the men on death row are African American.

100% of the murder victims of the men on death row are White. This is true even though African Americans persistently constitue over %80 of the victims of homicide in the state of Maryland.

That sounds damning, until you actually look at the numbers and realize that there have been only 4 executions since 1977, and there are currently only 9 people on death row. Using a sample size that small would normally get you laughed out of statistics class.

Reading the study itself, you find out that the University of Maryland researchers did indeed focus on the 13 people who received death sentences in the last 28 years. They note that the authors of the study "identified 415 homicides that were deemed to be "death eligible" (they presented facts which legally qualified them for the death penalty), 90 of which resulted in a penalty phase hearing."

So, in order for the conclusion to be true - that Maryland's death penalty is racist - 402 of the murders must have either been committed by whites, or involved black on black crime. Only 13 (or 3%) were actually given the death penalty. It should also be noted that of the 4 people executed since 1977, two of them (50%) are white.

But like I said, when you are talking about 13 people, statistics don't matter much.


Category:  Dumb Criminals
Comments (3)      top   link me

Comments

Very true, Steve. A statistical sample that small is far too insignificant to make a proper report. Something the media sets aside since it makes nifty headlines.

But one thing should be pointed out here. Juries in general are more likely to convict blacks than whites, and those are more likely to get a stiffer penalty. (African Americans are more likely to be poor so that can also account at a trial, since they have a less-qualified defense.) I do not see how you can fully remove a bias from the judicial system without creating a Big Brother style thought-police machine. And even if they did that, it would be much harder to hold a jury trial because nearly all candidates of a jury system would be removed.

Posted by: Rhett at April 26, 2005 1:12 PM

The big problem with juries is that the only people that serve on them are people who are too stupid to get out of jury duty. That and there is the general culling of people who are tough on crime.

For instance, my father was dismissed because he had been the victim of an armed robbery. I've never been called, but I'm guessing that my conservative views and various affiliations would get me disqualified.

Posted by: Ravenwood at April 26, 2005 2:06 PM

Oh, the joys of unintended consequences! First, there are too many death sentences. Now, there are so few that the result is inherently "racist."

Posted by: Bob at April 26, 2005 2:47 PM

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