I thought the economy was already bad


CNN/Money reports that rising interest rates will burst the housing bubble and plunge our economy into despair.

Mortgage debt now stands at record levels, having risen $1 trillion last year alone, and dwarfing other types of consumer debt, like credit cards. Homeowners have turned the equity they have in their homes into a virtual ATM, supplementing their household cash flow through additional mortgage borrowing. [...]

Rising interest rates will not only raise monthly payments on millions of loans. It could close that ATM for many households unwilling to refinance again at higher rates. And without that ready source of cash, there will be less money to spend on everything from clothing to appliances. [...]

Rising rates should start to hit consumer spending in a big way by this summer, according to economists.

"We definitely have to figure that once tax filing season is done and tax refunds are cashed, we do expect consumer spending will slow down in the second half of this year," said John Silvia, chief economist for Wachovia Securities. "I don't see any way to fudge that (higher financing costs). You're not getting the employment gains or wage and income gains to offset that."

At least CNN/Money is listening to real economists now, and not Billy Joel.

UPDATE: Oh wait, CNN/Money reports the economy is already in the dumps after all.



Comments (1)      top   link me

Comments

Money is a ticket in line to say what the economy does next. If there's too many people saying what the economy should do at once, more than the economy can do, then they bid against each other and bid the prices up, and you get inflation. So the Fed sells some debt, and burns the money. Now there's fewer people in line, just as they wanted.

This shows up as ``increased interest rates'' as if it is a _problem_. It's not a problem. It's exactly what's supposed to happen. Some consumption that had been replacing investment is told to bug off for a while. This is presented as hurtful to the economy!

The other way to do it is central planning, and empty shelves.

Posted by: Ron Hardin at April 13, 2005 10:49 AM

(c) Ravenwood and Associates, 1990 - 2014

About Ravenwood
Libertarianism
Libertarian Quiz
Secrets o' the Universe
Email Ravenwood

reading
<Blogroll Me>
/images/buttons/ru-button-r.gif

Bitch Girls
Bogie Blog
Countertop Chronicles
DC Thornton
Dean's World
Dumb Criminals
Dustbury
Gallery Clastic
Geek with a .45
Gut Rumbles
Hokie Pundit
Joanie
Lone Star Times
Other Side of Kim
Right Wing News
Say Uncle
Scrappleface
Silflay Hraka
Smallest Minority
The Command Post
Venomous Kate
VRWC


FemmeBloggers


archives

search the universe



rings etc

Gun Blogs


rss feeds
[All Versions]
[PDA Version]
[Non-CSS Version]
XML 0.91
RSS 1.0 (blurb)
RSS 2.0 (full feed)
 

credits
Design by:

Powered by: Movable Type 3.34
Encryption by: Deltus
Hosted by: Bluehost

Ravenwood's Universe:
Established 1990

Odometer

OdometerOdometerOdometerOdometerOdometer